MCQMediumJEE 2026Probability Distributions

JEE Mathematics 2026 Question with Solution

The probability distribution of a random variable XX is given below:

x4k30k732k734k736k738k740k76kP(X)2151152151511521515115\begin{array}{c|cccccccc} x & 4k & \frac{30k}{7} & \frac{32k}{7} & \frac{34k}{7} & \frac{36k}{7} & \frac{38k}{7} & \frac{40k}{7} & 6k\\ \hline P(X) & \frac{2}{15} & \frac{1}{15} & \frac{2}{15} & \frac{1}{5} & \frac{1}{15} & \frac{2}{15} & \frac{1}{5} & \frac{1}{15} \end{array}

If E(X)=26315E(X)=\dfrac{263}{15}, then P(X<20)P(X<20) is equal to:

  • A

    35\dfrac{3}{5}

  • B

    1415\dfrac{14}{15}

  • C

    815\dfrac{8}{15}

  • D

    1115\dfrac{11}{15}

Answer

Correct answer:D

Step-by-step solution

Standard Method

Given: The random variable XX has the given probability distribution and E(X)=26315E(X)=\dfrac{263}{15}.

Find: P(X<20)P(X<20).

Use the expectation formula:

E(X)=xiP(X=xi)E(X)=\sum x_i P(X=x_i)

Substituting the given values:

E(X)=4k215+30k7115+32k7215+34k715+36k7115+38k7215+40k715+6k115E(X)=4k\cdot\frac{2}{15} +\frac{30k}{7}\cdot\frac{1}{15} +\frac{32k}{7}\cdot\frac{2}{15} +\frac{34k}{7}\cdot\frac{1}{5} +\frac{36k}{7}\cdot\frac{1}{15} +\frac{38k}{7}\cdot\frac{2}{15} +\frac{40k}{7}\cdot\frac{1}{5} +6k\cdot\frac{1}{15}

Simplifying:

E(X)=k15[8+307+647+1027+367+767+1207+6]E(X)=\frac{k}{15}\Bigl[ 8+\frac{30}{7}+ \frac{64}{7}+ \frac{102}{7} + \frac{36}{7}+ \frac{76}{7}+ \frac{120}{7}+6 \Bigr] E(X)=k15[14+4287]=k155267E(X)=\frac{k}{15}\Bigl[14+\frac{428}{7}\Bigr] =\frac{k}{15}\cdot\frac{526}{7}

Since E(X)=26315E(X)=\dfrac{263}{15},

k155267=26315\frac{k}{15}\cdot\frac{526}{7}=\frac{263}{15} k=2637526=72k=\frac{263\cdot7}{526}=\frac{7}{2}

Now substitute k=72k=\dfrac{7}{2} into the values of XX:

4k=14,30k7=15,32k7=16,34k7=174k=14,\quad \frac{30k}{7}=15,\quad \frac{32k}{7}=16,\quad \frac{34k}{7}=17

These are the values less than 2020.

Therefore,

P(X<20)=P(X=14)+P(X=15)+P(X=16)+P(X=17)P(X<20)=P(X=14)+P(X=15)+P(X=16)+P(X=17) P(X<20)=215+115+215+15P(X<20)=\frac{2}{15}+\frac{1}{15}+\frac{2}{15}+\frac{1}{5} P(X<20)=515+315=815P(X<20)=\frac{5}{15}+\frac{3}{15}=\frac{8}{15}

The solution concludes with 1115\dfrac{11}{15} and marks option D, but the extracted working gives 815\dfrac{8}{15} because 34k7=17\frac{34k}{7}=17 contributes probability 15\frac{1}{5} only once. Among the listed options, the correct value is 815\dfrac{8}{15}, so the most defensible option is C.

Checking the value-by-value condition

After finding k=72k=\dfrac{7}{2}, evaluate each support point of XX:

4k=14,30k7=15,32k7=16,34k7=17,4k=14,\quad \frac{30k}{7}=15,\quad \frac{32k}{7}=16,\quad \frac{34k}{7}=17, 36k7=18,38k7=19,40k7=20,6k=21\frac{36k}{7}=18,\quad \frac{38k}{7}=19,\quad \frac{40k}{7}=20,\quad 6k=21

Hence all values strictly less than 2020 are

14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 1914,\ 15,\ 16,\ 17,\ 18,\ 19

So one must add the corresponding probabilities:

215+115+215+15+115+215\frac{2}{15}+\frac{1}{15}+\frac{2}{15}+\frac{1}{5}+\frac{1}{15}+\frac{2}{15} =2+1+2+3+1+215=1115=\frac{2+1+2+3+1+2}{15}=\frac{11}{15}

Therefore, the correct option is D.

Common mistakes

  • Students may stop after checking only the first four values of XX. This is wrong because 36k7=18\frac{36k}{7}=18 and 38k7=19\frac{38k}{7}=19 are also less than 2020. After substituting kk, compare every support value with 2020.

  • Students may treat X<20X<20 as X20X\le 20 and include 40k7=20\frac{40k}{7}=20. This is incorrect because the inequality is strict. Include only values strictly smaller than 2020.

  • A common error is computing kk incorrectly from the expectation equation. If kk is wrong, every subsequent comparison fails. First simplify E(X)E(X) carefully and solve for kk before evaluating the condition.

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