A card from a pack of cards is lost. From the remaining cards, cards are drawn and are found to be spades. If the probability of the lost card to be a spade is , then is equal to _____
- A
- B
- C
- D
A card from a pack of cards is lost. From the remaining cards, cards are drawn and are found to be spades. If the probability of the lost card to be a spade is , then is equal to _____
Correct answer:B
Standard Method
Given: A pack has cards with spades. One card is lost. From the remaining cards, cards are drawn and all are found to be spades.
Find: The value of if the probability that the lost card is a spade is .
If drawn cards are all spades, then the remaining number of spades is and the remaining total number of cards is .
Therefore,
Since , this becomes
Cross-multiplying,
Therefore, the value of is . The correct option is B.
Equation Simplification
Given: After cards are drawn and all are spades, the unseen cards contain spades out of total cards.
Find: .
The probability that the lost card is a spade is the fraction of spades among the unseen cards:
Now solve step by step:
Hence, .
Taking the number of remaining spades as and then treating differently from is inconsistent here, because the question says all drawn cards are spades. Therefore, the number of spades drawn is exactly . Use and .
Using in the denominator of the probability is incorrect, because after observing spades among drawn cards, the relevant unseen set has cards. The probability of the lost card being a spade must be formed from the remaining unseen cards.
Not simplifying and can make the expression look harder than it is. Since , reduce the combinations first and then solve the linear equation.
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