Given: Bag 1 contains 4 white and 5 black balls. Bag 2 contains n white and 3 black balls. One ball is transferred from Bag 1 to Bag 2, then one ball is drawn from Bag 2.
Find: The value of n given that the probability of drawing a white ball from Bag 2 is 4529.
Use total probability.
Probability of transferring a white ball from Bag 1:
P(E1)=94
Probability of transferring a black ball from Bag 1:
P(E2)=95If a white ball is transferred, Bag 2 has n+1 white balls and total n+4 balls, so
P(White from Bag 2∣E1)=n+4n+1If a black ball is transferred, Bag 2 has n white balls and total n+4 balls, so
P(White from Bag 2∣E2)=n+4nTherefore,
P(White)=P(E1)×P(White∣E1)+P(E2)×P(White∣E2)
4529=94×n+4n+1+95×n+4n
4529=9(n+4)1[4(n+1)+5n]=9(n+4)9n+4
Multiply both sides by 9(n+4):
4529×9(n+4)=9n+4
529(n+4)=9n+4
Multiply by 5:
29(n+4)=45n+20
29n+116=45n+20
96=16n
n=6
Therefore, the correct option is D.