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JEE Mathematics 2026 Question with Solution

Let the mean and variance of 77 observations 2,4,10,x,12,14,y2, 4, 10, x, 12, 14, y, where x>yx > y, be 88 and 1616 respectively. Two numbers are chosen from {1,2,3,x4,y,5}\{1, 2, 3, x-4, y, 5\} one after another without replacement, then the probability, that the smaller number among the two chosen numbers is less than 44, is:

  • A

    45\frac{4}{5}

  • B

    35\frac{3}{5}

  • C

    25\frac{2}{5}

  • D

    13\frac{1}{3}

Answer

Correct answer:A

Step-by-step solution

Standard Method

Given: The mean and variance of the observations 2,4,10,x,12,14,y2, 4, 10, x, 12, 14, y are 88 and 1616 respectively, with x>yx > y.

Find: The probability that when two numbers are chosen without replacement from {1,2,3,x4,y,5}\{1, 2, 3, x-4, y, 5\}, the smaller number is less than 44.

Using the mean,

2+4+10+x+12+14+y7=8\frac{2+4+10+x+12+14+y}{7} = 8

So,

42+x+y=5642 + x + y = 56

Hence,

x+y=14x+y=14

Using the variance formula,

σ2=xi27(xˉ)2=16\sigma^2 = \frac{\sum x_i^2}{7} - (\bar{x})^2 = 16

Therefore,

22+42+102+x2+122+142+y2782=16\frac{2^2+4^2+10^2+x^2+12^2+14^2+y^2}{7} - 8^2 = 16 4+16+100+x2+144+196+y2764=16\frac{4+16+100+x^2+144+196+y^2}{7} - 64 = 16 460+x2+y27=80\frac{460+x^2+y^2}{7} = 80

So,

x2+y2=100x^2+y^2=100

Now solve the system

x+y=14,x2+y2=100x+y=14, \qquad x^2+y^2=100

Put y=14xy=14-x in the second equation:

x2+(14x)2=100x^2 + (14-x)^2 = 100 2x228x+96=02x^2 - 28x + 96 = 0 x214x+48=0x^2 - 14x + 48 = 0 (x6)(x8)=0(x-6)(x-8)=0

So x=6x=6 or x=8x=8. Since x>yx>y, we get

x=8,y=6x=8, \qquad y=6

Now the set becomes

{1,2,3,x4,y,5}={1,2,3,4,6,5}={1,2,3,4,5,6}\{1, 2, 3, x-4, y, 5\} = \{1,2,3,4,6,5\} = \{1,2,3,4,5,6\}

Two numbers are chosen one after another without replacement.

Total ordered outcomes:

6×5=306 \times 5 = 30

Let AA be the event that the smaller of the two chosen numbers is less than 44.

Use the complement. Let AA' be the event that the smaller number is at least 44. Then both chosen numbers must come from {4,5,6}\{4,5,6\}.

Number of ordered outcomes in AA':

3×2=63 \times 2 = 6

Hence,

P(A)=630=15P(A') = \frac{6}{30} = \frac{1}{5}

Therefore,

P(A)=115=45P(A) = 1 - \frac{1}{5} = \frac{4}{5}

Therefore, the required probability is 45\frac{4}{5}. The correct option is A.

Complementary Counting

Given: The unknown values xx and yy are determined from the mean and variance, and then probability is to be found from the resulting set.

Find: The probability that the smaller of two chosen numbers is less than 44.

First determine xx and yy from

x+y=14x+y=14

and

x2+y2=100x^2+y^2=100

The valid pair satisfying x>yx>y is

(x,y)=(8,6)(x,y)=(8,6)

So the set is

{1,2,3,4,5,6}\{1,2,3,4,5,6\}

Instead of counting directly when the smaller number is less than 44, count when this does not happen.

If the smaller chosen number is not less than 44, then both selected numbers must be among

{4,5,6}\{4,5,6\}

Since selection is without replacement and in order, the number of such outcomes is

3P2=3×2=63P2 = 3 \times 2 = 6

while total ordered outcomes are

6P2=6×5=306P2 = 6 \times 5 = 30

Thus,

P(smaller4)=630=15P(\text{smaller} \ge 4) = \frac{6}{30} = \frac{1}{5}

Hence,

P(smaller<4)=115=45P(\text{smaller} < 4) = 1 - \frac{1}{5} = \frac{4}{5}

Therefore, the correct option is A.

Common mistakes

  • A common mistake is to stop after finding x+y=14x+y=14 and guess values of xx and yy. This is wrong because the variance condition is also required. Use both the mean and variance equations before forming the probability set.

  • Students often ignore the condition x>yx>y and take x=6,y=8x=6, y=8. This reverses the values and gives the wrong transformed set. After solving the quadratic, always apply the given inequality.

  • Another mistake is to count unordered pairs as (62)\binom{6}{2} even though the question says the numbers are chosen one after another without replacement. The solution counts ordered outcomes, so use 6×56 \times 5 consistently for the sample space.

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