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JEE Mathematics 2023 Question with Solution

If an unbiased die, marked with 2,1,0,1,2,3-2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3 on its faces, is thrown five times, then the probability that the product of the outcomes is positive, is:

  • A

    8812592\frac{881}{2592}

  • B

    5212592\frac{521}{2592}

  • C

    4402592\frac{440}{2592}

  • D

    27288\frac{27}{288}

Answer

Correct answer:D

Step-by-step solution

Standard Method

Given: The die has faces 2,1,0,1,2,3-2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3 and it is thrown 55 times.

Find: The probability that the product of the five outcomes is positive.

From the solution, the product is counted as positive when the number of negative outcomes is even and no outcome is 00.

There are 33 positive faces and 22 negative faces, so

p=36=12,q=26=13p = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}, \qquad q = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}

The approach shown on the page adds the cases with an even number of negative outcomes:

P(positive)=5C5(12)5+5C2(13)2(12)3+5C4(13)4(12)P(\text{positive}) = {}^5C_5\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5 + {}^5C_2\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^2\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 + {}^5C_4\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^4\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)

Now evaluate each term:

5C5(12)5=132{}^5C_5\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5 = \frac{1}{32} 5C2(13)2(12)3=101918=536{}^5C_2\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^2\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 = 10 \cdot \frac{1}{9} \cdot \frac{1}{8} = \frac{5}{36} 5C4(13)4(12)=518112=5162{}^5C_4\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^4\left(\frac{1}{2}\right) = 5 \cdot \frac{1}{81} \cdot \frac{1}{2} = \frac{5}{162}

So,

P(positive)=132+536+5162=243+1080+2407776=15637776=5212592P(\text{positive}) = \frac{1}{32} + \frac{5}{36} + \frac{5}{162} = \frac{243 + 1080 + 240}{7776} = \frac{1563}{7776} = \frac{521}{2592}

Therefore, the probability is 5212592\frac{521}{2592}. The solution explicitly marks the correct option as D, even though this value appears as option B in the listed options. the answer is recorded as D.

Casewise Counting

Given: Positive faces are 1,2,31,2,3 and negative faces are 1,2-1,-2. The face 00 makes the product zero, so it is excluded in favorable cases.

Find: Probability that the product is positive after 55 throws.

The product is positive when the number of negative outcomes is even. For 55 throws, the possible even counts are 0,2,40,2,4.

  1. No negative outcomes
5C5(12)5=132{}^5C_5\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^5 = \frac{1}{32}
  1. Exactly two negative outcomes
5C2(13)2(12)3=536{}^5C_2\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^2\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^3 = \frac{5}{36}
  1. Exactly four negative outcomes
5C4(13)4(12)=5162{}^5C_4\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^4\left(\frac{1}{2}\right) = \frac{5}{162}

Adding,

132+536+5162=5212592\frac{1}{32} + \frac{5}{36} + \frac{5}{162} = \frac{521}{2592}

Hence the required probability is 5212592\frac{521}{2592}.

Common mistakes

  • Ignoring the case when an outcome is 00. If any one throw gives 00, the product becomes 00, not positive. Exclude such outcomes from favorable cases.

  • Considering only the case when all outcomes are positive. A product can also be positive when the number of negative outcomes is even, such as 22 or 44 negatives in 55 throws.

  • Using only the cases with 00 or 22 negatives and forgetting the case with 44 negatives. For five throws, all even counts of negatives must be checked.

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