MCQEasyJEE 2026Probability Distributions

JEE Mathematics 2026 Question with Solution

From a lot containing 1010 defective and 9090 non-defective bulbs, 88 bulbs are selected one by one with replacement. Then the probability of getting at least 77 defective bulbs is

  • A

    67108\dfrac{67}{10^8}

  • B

    73108\dfrac{73}{10^8}

  • C

    7107\dfrac{7}{10^7}

  • D

    81108\dfrac{81}{10^8}

Answer

Correct answer:B

Step-by-step solution

Standard Method

Given: A lot contains 1010 defective and 9090 non-defective bulbs. 88 bulbs are selected one by one with replacement.

Find: The probability of getting at least 77 defective bulbs.

Since selection is with replacement, each trial is independent and the probability of a defective bulb remains constant.

P(defective)=10100=110P(\text{defective})=\frac{10}{100}=\frac{1}{10}

Therefore, the number of defective bulbs selected follows a binomial distribution with

n=8,p=110n=8,\quad p=\frac{1}{10}

“At least 77 defective bulbs” means

P(X7)=P(X=7)+P(X=8)P(X\ge 7)=P(X=7)+P(X=8)

Now,

P(X=7)=(87)(110)7(910)P(X=7)=\binom{8}{7}\left(\frac{1}{10}\right)^7\left(\frac{9}{10}\right) =72108=\frac{72}{10^8}

Also,

P(X=8)=(88)(110)8P(X=8)=\binom{8}{8}\left(\frac{1}{10}\right)^8 =1108=\frac{1}{10^8}

Hence,

P(X7)=72108+1108=73108P(X\ge 7)=\frac{72}{10^8}+\frac{1}{10^8}=\frac{73}{10^8}

Therefore, the required probability is 73108\dfrac{73}{10^8} and the correct option is B.

Binomial Distribution Setup

Given: Probability of success on each draw is constant because of replacement.

Find: Probability of getting defective bulbs at least 77 times in 88 draws.

Use the binomial formula

P(X=r)=(nr)pr(1p)nrP(X=r)=\binom{n}{r}p^r(1-p)^{n-r}

Here,

n=8,p=110,1p=910n=8,\quad p=\frac{1}{10},\quad 1-p=\frac{9}{10}

So we evaluate only the cases r=7r=7 and r=8r=8.

P(X=7)=(87)(110)7(910)=89108=72108P(X=7)=\binom{8}{7}\left(\frac{1}{10}\right)^7\left(\frac{9}{10}\right)=8\cdot \frac{9}{10^8}=\frac{72}{10^8} P(X=8)=(88)(110)8=1108P(X=8)=\binom{8}{8}\left(\frac{1}{10}\right)^8=\frac{1}{10^8}

Adding them,

72108+1108=73108\frac{72}{10^8}+\frac{1}{10^8}=\frac{73}{10^8}

Thus, the correct option is B.

Common mistakes

  • Using the hypergeometric distribution instead of the binomial distribution. That would be wrong because the bulbs are selected with replacement, so each trial is independent and the probability stays constant. Use the binomial model here.

  • Interpreting “at least 77 defective bulbs” as only P(X=7)P(X=7). This is incorrect because “at least 77” includes both X=7X=7 and X=8X=8. Add both probabilities.

  • Taking the probability of a defective bulb as 1090\frac{10}{90} instead of 10100\frac{10}{100}. The total number of bulbs is 100100, so the correct success probability is 10100=110\frac{10}{100}=\frac{1}{10}.

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