From a lot containing defective and non-defective bulbs, bulbs are selected one by one with replacement. Then the probability of getting at least defective bulbs is
- A
- B
- C
- D
From a lot containing defective and non-defective bulbs, bulbs are selected one by one with replacement. Then the probability of getting at least defective bulbs is
Correct answer:B
Standard Method
Given: A lot contains defective and non-defective bulbs. bulbs are selected one by one with replacement.
Find: The probability of getting at least defective bulbs.
Since selection is with replacement, each trial is independent and the probability of a defective bulb remains constant.
Therefore, the number of defective bulbs selected follows a binomial distribution with
“At least defective bulbs” means
Now,
Also,
Hence,
Therefore, the required probability is and the correct option is B.
Binomial Distribution Setup
Given: Probability of success on each draw is constant because of replacement.
Find: Probability of getting defective bulbs at least times in draws.
Use the binomial formula
Here,
So we evaluate only the cases and .
Adding them,
Thus, the correct option is B.
Using the hypergeometric distribution instead of the binomial distribution. That would be wrong because the bulbs are selected with replacement, so each trial is independent and the probability stays constant. Use the binomial model here.
Interpreting “at least defective bulbs” as only . This is incorrect because “at least ” includes both and . Add both probabilities.
Taking the probability of a defective bulb as instead of . The total number of bulbs is , so the correct success probability is .
Get unlimited AI-adaptive practice, mastery tracking, and an AI tutor that explains every step — free to start.