A fair faces die is rolled repeatedly until a number less than appears. If the mean of the number of tosses required is , then is equal to:
JEE Mathematics 2023 Question with Solution
Answer
Correct answer:10
Step-by-step solution
Standard Method
Given: A fair faces die is rolled until a number less than appears.
Find: The value of if the mean number of tosses is .
Let the first success be getting a number less than . Then
So the mean is written as
Hence,
Using
with ,
Now,
So,
Therefore,
which gives
Therefore, the value of is .
Expectation Series Expansion
Given: Success occurs when the die shows any of .
Find: from the given mean .
The probability that the process stops on the first toss is
The probability that it stops on the second toss is
The probability that it stops on the third toss is
Thus the expectation becomes
This matches the expanded series used above. Evaluating it gives
Since this is equal to ,
Cancelling ,
Hence,
So the required numerical value is .
Common mistakes
Treating the stopping probability as is incorrect because the process stops when a number less than appears, which has probability . Use only for the failure event of getting exactly .
Using the geometric-series formula instead of the weighted series formula is wrong. The series here is , so the correct sum is .
Forgetting that the probability for the process to stop on the -th toss includes both repeated failures and then one success leads to an incomplete expectation. The correct term is .
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